{"id":28655,"date":"2014-09-16T20:39:07","date_gmt":"2014-09-16T20:39:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=28655"},"modified":"2015-03-08T02:48:36","modified_gmt":"2015-03-08T02:48:36","slug":"scotlands-independence-my-thoughts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=28655","title":{"rendered":"Scotland&#8217;s Independence: My Thoughts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday, Scotland will vote on whether or not it should remain in the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n<p>While I have no say in Scotland&#8217;s future and my opinion won&#8217;t matter, I do have some thoughts on the issue.<\/p>\n<p>The romantic in me wants to vote Yes.  The romantic in me wants to see an independent Scotland.<\/p>\n<p>The realist in me couldn&#8217;t pull the lever. The realist in me would vote No.<\/p>\n<p>I have problems with the message the Yes campaign is peddling.  I&#8217;ve read <a href=\"http:\/\/www.scotreferendum.com\/reports\/scotlands-future-your-guide-to-an-independent-scotland\/\">their white paper on Scottish independence<\/a>, and it sounds magnificent.  Oil revenue, control over their own foreign policy, access to the pound and European markets, membership in the European Union, control over their own destiny.<\/p>\n<p>Where the Yes campaign&#8217;s vision falters is on &#8220;access to the pound and European markets, membership in the European Union.&#8221;  Because those three things are not guaranteed at all. Despite the firm statements from Westminster that, no, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/uk-news\/2014\/feb\/11\/main-parties-rule-out-scottish-currency-union\">an independent Scotland won&#8217;t be allowed into a formal currency union<\/a> with the rump United Kingdom, Alex Salmond insists it will happen.  Thanks to misgivings from the rest of Europe, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/scottish-independence-eu-bid-extremely-difficult-says-jose-manuel-barroso-9131925.html\">there&#8217;s no guarantee that Scotland will be allowed into the European Union<\/a> and have access to the free trade zone.<\/p>\n<p>Just last week, we learned that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/business-29151798\">Scottish multinationals are planning on leaving Scotland and relocating to England in the event of a Yes vote<\/a>.  Why?  I would hazard a guess that these businesses don&#8217;t want to lose their access to European markets.  They don&#8217;t want to be located in a country outside the Eurozone. What&#8217;s Salmond&#8217;s response to this?  It&#8217;s fear-mongering nonsense.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than address the very real and negative consequences of an independence vote, Salmond pretends that the real and negative consequences simply don&#8217;t exist.  When confronted with the reality, he puts his fingers in his ears, scrunches up his nose, and hums loudly.  Salmond&#8217;s campaign has been based upon peddling the best case scenario, assuming that everything will turn up rosy, that all the chips will fall his way.<\/p>\n<p>It won&#8217;t happen that way.<\/p>\n<p>The Yes vote would result in a financial and brain drain from Scotland.  To compete, Scotland may well have to adopt the same tax haven policies that Ireland adopted in the 1990s and led to the country&#8217;s financial ruin.<\/p>\n<p>I agree with Gordon Brown that <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2014\/sep\/12\/scottish-independence-referendum-gordon-brown-moment-destiny\">Scotland&#8217;s independence referendum has raised real and important questions about Britain&#8217;s constitutional order<\/a>. I think that Scotland should remain within the UK and work to reform the system to create a written constitution and a devolved federal system.<\/p>\n<p>And if that doesn&#8217;t work?  Revisit the independence question in a decade, only this time with better answers to the questions of what happens with independence that grapple with the reality of the wider world.<\/p>\n<p>Scotland, I would vote No on Thursday.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Thursday, Scotland will vote on whether or not it should remain in the United Kingdom. While I have no say in Scotland&#8217;s future and my opinion won&#8217;t matter, I do have some thoughts on the issue. The romantic in me wants to vote Yes. The romantic in me wants to see an independent Scotland.<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=28655\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Scotland&#8217;s Independence: My Thoughts&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28656,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[3964,3965,88,3966],"class_list":["post-28655","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-alex-salmond","tag-david-cameron","tag-scotland","tag-scottish-independence","prominence-featured","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28655","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28655\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28656"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}