{"id":29679,"date":"2015-03-07T10:28:09","date_gmt":"2015-03-07T15:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?post_type=argolinks&#038;p=29679"},"modified":"2016-03-07T16:50:52","modified_gmt":"2016-03-07T21:50:52","slug":"robert-plant-covers-elbow-for-british-red-cross","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=29679","title":{"rendered":"Protecting John Boehner&#8217;s Speakership"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There has been chatter the past week about a potential move by House Republicans to unseat Speaker John Boehner.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve laughed at this chatter, because it simply isn&#8217;t going to happen.  I&#8217;ve laughed at Republicans who think that Ted Yoho or Louie Gohmert could become the next Speaker.  I&#8217;ve laughed at Democrats who think that Nancy Pelosi could become Speaker.  I&#8217;ve laughed &#8212; because I&#8217;ve looked into the process to unseat and replace a Speaker, I&#8217;ve looked at the process of electing a Speaker, and it&#8217;s simply not going to happen.<\/p>\n<p>First, let me deal with the Democratic chatter about Pelosi.  &#8220;If the Republicans split their votes and the Democrats stick together, then Pelosi could win.&#8221;  No, the Speakership vote <i>doesn&#8217;t work that way<\/i>.  To be elected Speaker, you have to win 50% plus 1 of the House membership.  Pelosi would need about forty Republicans to vote for her, and the way that Fox News has demonized Pelosi, any Republican who voted for a Pelosi speakership would have multiple primary challengers enter the 2016 race within fifteen minutes.<\/p>\n<p>Now, for the Republican chatter about Yoho or Gohmert.  Again, the same thing &#8212; they would have to get 50% plus 1 of the House membership.  I don&#8217;t see either of these clowns getting 218 Republican votes.  They certainly aren&#8217;t going to get Democratic votes for the Speakership; Democrats recognize that a Tea Party-run House wouldn&#8217;t function and would be actively dangerous.  For example, a debt ceiling increase needs to be approved within the next week; could anyone trust Yoho or Gohmert to move such a bill to the floor of the House?  I certainly don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>Now, we have Democrats speaking, on the record, that <a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/house\/234766-dems-would-back-boehner-in-coup-attempt\">they will support Boehner if there&#8217;s a move to unseat him<\/a>.  I think this is a calculated move to tell Republicans who want to unseat Boehner that it&#8217;s not going to happen.  I think it&#8217;s also a move to reassure Boehner that he can move necessary legislation, like the debt ceiling increase, without worrying about a revolt on his right flank.<\/p>\n<p>If a faction of Republicans tries to unseat Boehner in the next few weeks, it will be amusing but ultimately futile.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There has been chatter the past week about a potential move by House Republicans to unseat Speaker John Boehner. I&#8217;ve laughed at this chatter, because it simply isn&#8217;t going to happen. I&#8217;ve laughed at Republicans who think that Ted Yoho or Louie Gohmert could become the next Speaker. I&#8217;ve laughed at Democrats who think that<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=29679\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Protecting John Boehner&#8217;s Speakership&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":25673,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[119],"tags":[172,120],"class_list":["post-29679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-john-boehner","tag-republican-party","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=29679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/25673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=29679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=29679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=29679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}