{"id":5995,"date":"2011-08-31T08:31:35","date_gmt":"2011-08-31T13:31:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.net\/?p=5995"},"modified":"2011-08-31T08:31:35","modified_gmt":"2011-08-31T13:31:35","slug":"on-the-presidency-of-al-gore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=5995","title":{"rendered":"On the Presidency of Al Gore"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In less than two weeks the United States will mark a solemn and unfortunate anniversary, the tenth anniversary of 9\/11.<\/p>\n<p>I bring this up, not to disturb the memories of some who are still traumatized by the incident, but because of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.vanityfair.com\/magazine\/2011\/10\/60-minutes-poll201110.print#slide=1\">a recent poll that asked Americans what they thought the world would be like if Al Gore had been President<\/a>.  And the truth is, most Americans think we&#8217;d be in the same place we are today if Al Gore, not George W. Bush, had been inaugurated in 2001.<\/p>\n<p>There are a few blogs that have been discussing it.  <a href=\"http:\/\/thinkprogress.org\/yglesias\/2011\/08\/29\/307341\/tales-of-the-gore-administration\/\">Matt Yglesias<\/a> discusses it.  So too does <a href=\"http:\/\/andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com\/2011\/08\/iraq-war-and-president-gore.html\">Andrew Sullivan<\/a>.  The point both make is that there would have been <i>some<\/i> military intervention in Asia and the Middle East, at the very least Afghanistan and possibly Iraq as well, thanks to 9-11.<\/p>\n<p>However, that belief presumes there would have been a <i>need<\/i> for an invasion of Afghanistan to take down bin Laden in a Gore presidency.  It&#8217;s difficult to prove the counterfactual, but there&#8217;s every reason to think that 9\/11 would not have happened.  <\/p>\n<p>During the presidential transition in 2001, President Clinton gave Bush a plan to retaliate against al-Qaeda for the <i>USS Cole<\/i> bombing.  Clinton did not implement the plan himself, as he did not want to bequeath his successor a military operation (in the way that Bush pere had left Clinton to clean up the Somalia mess).  Bush promptly tossed the retaliatory strike on al-Qaeda because the people he had surrounded himself with believed that terrorism was not a big deal.  Gore, on the other hand, would not have been as dismissive of the idea of terrorism, having been in the Clinton administration.  Even if the <i>Cole<\/i> reprisal didn&#8217;t disrupt al-Qaeda sufficiently, not backbenching Richard Clarke as Condoleezza Rice had would have paid dividends.  That&#8217;s not to say that the Bush administration was not aware of the impending attack &#8212; John Ashcroft suspected enough that he stopped flying on public planes, Bush was given the PDB of August 6, 2011 that warned of an impending attack &#8212; but the Bush administration wasn&#8217;t focused on or interested in doing anything <i>about<\/i> the intel.  A President Gore presented with a Presidential Daily Briefing entitled &#8220;Bin Laden Determined to Strike In US&#8221; would not have said to his CIA briefer, as Bush did, &#8220;Okay, now you&#8217;ve covered your ass.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Even presuming that 9\/11 occurs on Gore&#8217;s watch, we don&#8217;t get from Afghanistan to Iraq.  Yes, it is true that Gore believed in the existence of Iraqi WMDs.  But Gore was not the unilateralist that Bush was, and Gore didn&#8217;t have the Cold War Revivalists like Cheney surrounding him.  (And, if you accept the premise of Jacob Weisberg&#8217;s <i>The Bush Tragedy<\/i>, Gore didn&#8217;t have the psychological and familial issues that pushed Bush into Iraq.)  Would Gore have used intelligence he knew to be false and fabricated to make a case for war?  I genuinely doubt it.  In any event, the link between Afghanistan and Iraq wasn&#8217;t just tenuous.  It was non-existent.  Yet, that purported link was one of the reasons that Bush and his administration argued for war.  If you ask people today if there was a link between Osama bin Laden and Saddam Hussein, many many people think there was, because Dick Cheney and George W. Bush kept telling them so.  If they <i>weren&#8217;t<\/i> in a position to use the bully pulpit of their offices to tell the American people an outright lie, the non-existent link would not have been forged in the mind of the people.  That&#8217;s not to say that Cheney couldn&#8217;t have written editorials and the like claiming that it was a vital interest of the United States to depose Saddam Hussein.  Along with other neocons with the Project for a New American Century, he wrote a letter to Clinton in the mid-90s arguing for regime change in Iraq.  There&#8217;s a vast difference between writing a letter to a President and being a Vice President with the ear of a President who had something to prove to the world.<\/p>\n<p>In short, the evidence supports the contention that the 9\/11 attacks happened <i>because<\/i> of the incompetence of Bush and his advisors.  In a hypothetical world where Gore became President in 2001, there&#8217;s every reason to believe that the al-Qaeda attacks on New York and Washington would have been disrupted in advance of the hijackings and the Twin Towers would continue to stands.  At times I wonder how people like Sandra Day O&#8217;Connor and Anthony Kennedy can sleep at night.  They have the blood of the last decade on their hands.at times I wonder how people like Sandra Day O&#8217;Connor and Anthony Kennedy can sleep at night.  They have the blood of the last decade on their hands.  If only for that reason, a world with President Gore would be a better world than the one we inhabit today.<\/p>\n<p>George Bush&#8217;s presidency is also an argument against Leibniz &mdash; we do not live in the best of all possible worlds.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In less than two weeks the United States will mark a solemn and unfortunate anniversary, the tenth anniversary of 9\/11. I bring this up, not to disturb the memories of some who are still traumatized by the incident, but because of a recent poll that asked Americans what they thought the world would be like<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/?p=5995\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;On the Presidency of Al Gore&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[126],"tags":[766,273,4110,387,379],"class_list":["post-5995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-history","tag-afghanistan","tag-george-bush","tag-history","tag-iraq","tag-terrorism","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5995","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5995"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5995\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5995"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5995"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.allyngibson.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5995"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}